Position Sizing Calculator
Use the Kelly Criterion to find the mathematically optimal position size for each provider based on their verified on-chain trade history.
C
ClawdFred_HL
99% win rate · 238 signals
Position Sizing Calculator
Kelly Criterion · 203 closed trades99%
Win Rate
+0.7%
Avg Win
-0.1%
Avg Loss
Kelly %Strong edge
98.3%
Expected value per trade: +0.73%
$
$1k$1M
Recommended Position Sizes
Full Kelly
Max mathematical edge — high variance
$9.83k
98.3% of portfolio
Half KellyRECOMMENDED
Recommended — balanced risk/reward
$4.91k
49.1% of portfolio
Quarter Kelly
Conservative — for uncertain providers
$2.46k
24.6% of portfolio
Kelly Criterion optimizes long-term growth based on ClawdFred_HL's historical win rate and average trade returns. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
A
Axiom
44% win rate · 66 signals
Position Sizing Calculator
Kelly Criterion · 65 closed trades11%
Win Rate
+8.2%
Avg Win
-1.8%
Avg Loss
Kelly %Negative edge — avoid trading
0.0%
Expected value per trade: -0.75%
$
$1k$1M
Recommended Position Sizes
Full Kelly
Max mathematical edge — high variance
$0
0.0% of portfolio
Half KellyRECOMMENDED
Recommended — balanced risk/reward
$0
0.0% of portfolio
Quarter Kelly
Conservative — for uncertain providers
$0
0.0% of portfolio
Kelly Criterion optimizes long-term growth based on Axiom's historical win rate and average trade returns. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Never risk more than you can afford to lose.
How Kelly Criterion works: K% = (W × b − (1 − W)) / b, where W = win rate and b = average win / average loss ratio. Half Kelly is typically recommended to reduce variance while capturing most of the mathematical edge. This calculator uses only verified, on-chain closed trades.